USC RED 469 · Spring 2026 · Investment Presentation

Cité Vivante.

A new live-work destination in the heart of an innovation hub.

1 Avenue Pierre Brossolette · 91380 Chilly-Mazarin / Longjumeau

Site 16.3 ha · two municipalities
Program 32,000 m² labs + 350–500 units
Team KAT Kyle Tran · Ashwin Yogaratnam · Tina Wang
Opening · Investment Thesis

A value-accretive alternative to the Plan A strategy.

Plan A (Boost Campus) is industry-only. Our counter adds housing + civic program on the same basis.

Plan A · Boost Campus Today
An industrial-innovation campus.

Approved, permitted, and under construction — a conventional tech / light-industrial program that preserves jobs but leaves the surrounding municipalities under-served.

  • 54,875 m² of new SDP · 73% industrial, 22% office, 5% commercial
  • ~1,300 jobs · a 13% reduction vs. the Sanofi era
  • Zero housing · Zero civic program · Zero community activation
  • Hits the SRU quota for neither Chilly-Mazarin nor Longjumeau
Source: DRIEAT CERFA N° 14734*04 (June 2025)
Plan B · Cité Vivante · Our Counter
A live-work district anchored by science.

Same footprint, same basis — reprogrammed to add housing and a public park alongside the retained BSL-2 lab platform, using the Découflé precedent as the approval path.

  • Retain the 32,000 m² BSL-2 lab platform · add 350–500 housing units
  • 2–3 ha public park + ground-floor services + civic program
  • €11.3M–€12.5M stabilized NOI on a €178M–€240M cost basis
  • 18–20% levered IRR · 7–10 year hold
The Découflé precedent, already in public consultation, is our path to approval.
Source: DRIEAT CERFA N° 14734*04 (June 2025) · Cité Vivante Proposal
Team

Team.

Kyle Tran
Kyle Tran
B.A Real Estate Development
Tina Wang
Tina Wang
B.S Business Administration
Ashwin Yogaratnam
Ashwin Yogaratnam
B.Arch

Cité Vivante · Boost Campus Redevelopment · Chilly-Mazarin / Longjumeau

Deck Contents

Table of Contents

01
Property Analysis
Site · Cadastre · Buildings
02
Market Analysis
Life Sciences · Housing · Permits
03
Redevelopment Plan
Three Pillars · Program
04
Valuation
Financials · Sensitivities
Section 01
01
Property Analysis

Property Analysis

Sixteen hectares. Two municipalities. Seven cadastral parcels. One unified land parcel.

16.3 hectares · Chilly-Mazarin / Longjumeau
Site

16.3 hectares spanning Chilly-Mazarin and Longjumeau.

Former Sanofi R&D campus · aerial view
Former Sanofi R&D Campus

A 16.3 ha brownfield site adjacent to the Grande Ceinture rail corridor.

A Campus in the Heart of an Innovation Hub

Minutes from Paris-Saclay, Polytechnique, CEA and INSERM.

Paris-Saclay University
18 min
Europe's densest research-and-innovation cluster.
CEA Paris-Saclay
16 min
National research agency & deep-tech anchor.
Polytechnique Institute Paris
13 min
Grandes écoles engineering campus.
INSERM
30 min
National institute of health & medical research.
Drive / transit times measured from Chilly-Mazarin site centroid.
Transit Access

Four rail and one airport link within 35 minutes.

RER B
25–35 min
To central Paris via Massy–Palaiseau.
Tram T-12
10 min
Future tramway along the northern rail corridor.
Metro 18
Massy–Palaiseau
Grand Paris Express extension serving Paris-Saclay.
Orly Airport
15–20 min
Paris's second-busiest airport.
Île-de-France Mobilités · SGP Grand Paris Express.
01 · Property Analysis · Site Overview

Site location and regional context.

1 Avenue Pierre Brossolette, 91380 Chilly-Mazarin · Former Sanofi-Aventis R&D campus · GPS 48°42′00″ N / 02°18′ E

AttributeDetail
Site area16.3 ha across two municipalities
MunicipalitiesChilly-Mazarin (91380) + Longjumeau
Unified Land Parcel162,829 m² · 7 cadastral parcels
Chilly-Mazarin000 AC 705 · 63,259 m²
Longjumeau6 parcels · 98,820 m²
Prior ownerAGAZ France Industrial Propco SNC
SIRET944 154 459 00019
Rail adjacencyGrande Ceinture (future T12 tram)
PLU ChillyZone Uld · approved 9 Mar 2024
PLU LongjumeauZone Ula · approved 24 Sept 2024
Access & Transit

6 access points · 2 Longjumeau (west), 4 Chilly-Mazarin (east).

Tram T12 along active northern rail corridor · RER C shuttle · bus service.

Paris-Orly 8 km · Paris 20 km.

Immediate context

Brownfield site bordering the Grande Ceinture rail. Village housing to the south, Sanofi HQ to the north.

Two municipalities · one unified parcel · existing utilities and security fabric already in place.

Source: DRIEAT CERFA N° 14734*04 · Boost Existing Conditions.
04 — Demographics & SRU Compliance

Policy and demographics both point to housing.

Strong demand fundamentals, a municipality under SRU pressure, and a recent approval that proves the pathway works.

20,443
Chilly-Mazarin population
36
Median age
23.7%
Core working-age cohort (25–44)
€23,140
Median household income
Source: INSEE (2021).
SRU Compliance Gap
  • Required: 25% social housing (SRU law)
  • Current: ~20%
  • Shortfall: −5 pts

Prefect can override local planning if the municipality fails to comply — creating direct incentive to approve compliant residential projects.

Precedent — Découflé Approval
  • 300 units approved (May/June 2025)
  • 30% affordable
  • Same municipality (Chilly-Mazarin)
  • Industrial brownfield → residential conversion
  • VINCI: 167 units under construction, delivery 2027

Confirms the municipality actively supports residential conversion on former industrial sites at scale.

Chilly-Mazarin both needs housing and is already approving it — our program slots into a pathway the municipality has endorsed.
Source: INSEE (2021) · Loi SRU (Legifrance) · Découflé public consultation records.
01 · Property Analysis · Cadastral Summary

Seven parcels · one unified land parcel · 162,829 m².

Single ownership across seven cadastral parcels in two PLU jurisdictions — one of the largest contiguous redevelopment opportunities in the Vigne aux Loups corridor.

ParcelAreaMunicipalityContentsProposed role
000 AC 70563,259 m²Chilly-MazarinB10, B11, B12 offices; parking silo; landscaped park; 4 access ptsResidential + public park
000 AC 092LongjumeauOffices B0/B5/B6, green corridor, restaurant B3, surface parkingMixed-use core + retained B3
000 AC 60032,118 m²LongjumeauR&D lab complex B9 + B14; underground parking PSORetained 32,000 m² labs
000 AC 6016,709 m²LongjumeauB9/B14 service areas; western campus roadRetained lab service
000 AC 3239,562 m²LongjumeauNorthern strip along rail line (T12 corridor)Transit buffer / cycle link
000 AC 324760 m²LongjumeauRail easement at municipality boundaryEasement retained
000 AC 327268 m²LongjumeauTechnical easement / access pointEasement retained
Total162,829 m²Unified Land Parcel across 2 PLUs
Unified Ownership
1 unified land parcel
Single owner · single transaction · no parcel-level holdouts.
Largest Parcel
63,259 m²
AC 705 in Chilly-Mazarin · core of the residential program.
Retained Labs
38,827 m²
AC 600 + AC 601 · purpose-built BSL-2 platform, anchor tenant-ready.
Jurisdictions
2 PLUs
Chilly-Mazarin Uld (9 Mar 2024) + Longjumeau Ula (24 Sept 2024).
Source: DRIEAT CERFA N° 14734*04 (Agence Franc site plan) · French cadastre portal.
01 · Property Analysis · Building Inventory

Existing improvements assessed for retention or replacement.

Retain · 38,000 m² SDP
B9R&D Labs · biology, chemistry, pharmacology, animal facility. BSL-2 equipped, built ~2010.
B14R&D Labs / Support · continuation of the B9 platform. Multi-tenant ready.
PSOUnderground parking beneath B9/B14. Retained for lab campus.
B3Restaurant d'entreprise ~1,000 m². Convert to public café / pôle de services.
SiloMulti-story parking structure, Chilly side. Partially conserved.

Platform total: 32,000 m² BSL-2 labs + ~1,000 m² F&B + ~5,000 m² ancillary.

Demolish · ~50,000 m² Obsolete Office

12 buildings, 1950s–2000s office stock whose structure prevents adaptive reuse.

Longjumeau · center/westB0 · B5 · B6 · B8a · B8b
Chilly-Mazarin · eastB10 · B11 · B12 (Y-shape + rectangular footprints)
Ancillary / utilityD · L · SV (Longjumeau north/center)
Security gatehousePCS (Chilly east entry)

Demo total ~68,000 m² · New construction 38,500–52,500 m².

Source: Agence Franc site plan (DRIEAT CERFA).
Section 02
02
Market Analysis

Market Analysis

Life-sciences demand meets a countercyclical construction opportunity.

02 — Life Sciences Demand

Retaining a critical lab asset.

The 32,000 m² Sanofi BSL-2 laboratory platform is purpose-built infrastructure that cannot be replicated economically. Retention and repositioning is the optimal strategy.

1,400+
Life-sciences companies in Paris Region
Choose Paris Region.
32K m²
Existing BSL-2 lab platform on site
Sanofi / Arizona.
431
Active Paris-Saclay job postings (Mar 2025)
Job Market Research.
#1
European biotech hub
Ahead of London & Basel · Labiotech.
Competitive Positioning

Cité Vivante adds mixed-use residential, retail, and green space to retained BSL-2 labs — unlike Boost Campus's mono-use industrial approach with zero housing, no public access, and no SRU contribution.

03 — Macroeconomic Context

Low supply = low competition.

France is in the deepest construction recession since the postwar era. For a viable project like Cité Vivante, this is an advantage.

−6.0%
GDP decline · French construction
FFB sector.
−5.8%
New housing permits
YoY decline · SITADEL.
70-yr low
National housing production
FFB.
ZAN
Zéro Artificialisation Nette
Favors brownfield sites · LawClimat.
Why this benefits Cité Vivante
  • Competing deliveries are collapsing.
  • ZAN tailwind: greenfield restrictions make brownfield conversions the preferred path.
  • Pent-up demand: years of undersupply create a deep backlog of unmet need.
Countercyclical Positioning

Projects initiated during downturns benefit from compressed land costs, favorable contractor pricing, and reduced competitive supply at delivery. Cité Vivante's 2029–2031 delivery window allows the market cycle to recover.

02 · Market Analysis · Permit Registry

Municipality permit activity signals a housing-led approval pathway.

"Full permit registry: under 20,000 m² of industrial permits since 2021. Recent shift to residential · ~10,000+ m² in 2024."

France Cadastre · Chilly-Mazarin Permis de Construire Registry.
01
The municipality is visibly tilting residential.

Chilly-Mazarin has granted more residential SDP in a single recent year than industrial permits in the prior three years combined. Market demand and municipal appetite are converging.

02
A 90,000 m² industrial plan bets against its own permit record.

Boost Campus's 54,875 m² industrial-heavy program (73% activité) doubles down on a category the municipality has been quietly issuing fewer permits for.

03
Cité Vivante lands in the lane the town is already paving.

Our 350–500 unit program rides the same residential tailwind evidenced in the cadastre, and satisfies the SRU and PLH obligations Boost Campus leaves unaddressed.

Source: France Cadastre · Chilly-Mazarin Permit Registry.
02 · Market Analysis · Housing Demand

Four converging regulatory frameworks driving Île-de-France housing demand.

SRU housing law · The 25% social-housing floor

SRU housing law (art. 55) requires municipalities over 3,500 inhabitants in Île-de-France to reach 25% social housing. Chilly-Mazarin currently sits at ~20%. Our 20–25% affordable component directly retires the gap. Arizona's plan contributes zero.

PLH · The communal housing target

The Programme Local de l'Habitat for Communauté Paris-Saclay sets explicit multi-year housing delivery obligations. 350–500 units on one site materially move the municipality's PLH scorecard in a single project cycle.

SDRIF-E · Paris-Saclay densification

The Schéma Directeur de la Région Île-de-France (Environnement) requires +10–15% density in the Paris-Saclay arc. Already-artificialized sites like this one are the preferred receiver under the policy. A housing-forward plan answers the regional directive.

LawClimat · Zero net artificialization

The 2021 LawClimat sets a trajectory to ZAN by 2050, halving new artificialization by 2031. The site is already 100% artificialized. Densification here is NOT new artificialization — it is exactly the type of brownfield densification ZAN rewards.

Source: SRU housing law (Legifrance) · SDRIF-E (IdF Region) · LawClimat & Résilience.
02 · Market Analysis · Comparable Rents

Residential and lab comparables support underwriting assumptions.

Residential Comps
CompLocationYear€/m²/moNotes
Campus Grand ParcVillebon-sur-Yvette202318.50140 units delivered
Eco. Joseph-BoucheryMassy202221.00Transit-oriented
Résidence Saclay ParkOrsay202419.80Near research cluster
Cité Vivante (UW)Chilly-Mazarin2028+20.00350–500 units
Lab / Office Comps
CompLocationUseRentNotes
GenopoleÉvryBSL-2 labs350 €/m²/yrBiotech anchor
Paris-Saclay Cancer ClusterVillejuifOnco labs420 €/m²/yrPSCC anchor
Nexity AequoLongjumeauNew resi+retail3,200/m² saleDécouflé adj.
Cité Vivante (UW)Chilly-MazarinBSL-2 retained320 €/m²/yr32,000 m²
Residential underwriting
20.00 €/m²/mo

Inside the 18.50–21.00 corridor set by 2022–2024 Essonne deliveries. Positioned between Villebon (18.50) and Massy transit premium (21.00).

Lab underwriting
320 €/m²/yr

Set below Genopole (350) and Paris-Saclay Cancer Cluster (420) to reflect Chilly-Mazarin's off-cluster location while retaining the BSL-2 premium.

Conservatism
~8–12% discount

Both residential and lab rents are underwritten below median comp to preserve occupancy velocity and DSCR coverage at stabilization.

All rents in €/m²/month unless stated otherwise. Source: Paris-Saclay Cancer Cluster · Genopole · Adéquation IdF residential.
02 · Market Analysis · Catalysts

Catalysts.

Metro
Grand Paris Express & T12 tramway.

New rail and tram service fundamentally changes the commute calculus for Chilly-Mazarin.

Lifestyle
People want to live close to where they work.

Paris-Saclay's 1,400+ life-sciences companies are fundamentally undersupplied for walk-to-work housing.

Section 03
03
Redevelopment Plan

Redevelopment Plan

Three pillars · Innovation, Residential, and the Commons.

03 · Redevelopment Plan · Retain / Demolish

Retain what cannot be replicated. Demolish what cannot adapt.

Retain
  • B9 laboratory platform (BSL-2)
  • B3 restaurant / cafeteria
  • East parking structure
  • East and west surface lots
Demolish
  • All remaining office buildings
  • Central surface lot
03 · Redevelopment Plan · Program

Three pillars of Cité Vivante.

Pillar 1
The Innovation Sector

Retain and extend the BSL-2 science platform.

Pillar 2
The Residential Sector

350–500 homes, ground-floor retail, a public café.

Pillar 3
The Commons

A 2–3 ha public park and 104,129 m² of total green space.

03 · Redevelopment Plan · Pillar 1

Pillar 1 · The Innovation Sector.

Existing Lab Space
47,320 m²

BSL-2 and support labs retained from the Sanofi platform. Multi-tenant ready for Paris-Saclay life-science occupiers.

New Light Industrial Spaces
19,600 m²

New build-to-suit light industrial for biotech scale-up tenants, lab support, and clean-room occupiers.

03 · Redevelopment Plan · Pillar 2

Pillar 2 · The Residential Sector.

Converted Cafeteria
4,697 m²

B3 adaptive reuse as a public café / pôle de services.

New Residential
32,000 m²

Two-story apartments · 350–500 units across a family-oriented courtyard typology.

Ground-Floor Retail
16,000 m²

Everyday retail and services activating the street frontage and the park edge.

03 · Redevelopment Plan · Pillar 3

Pillar 3 · The Commons.

Common Park Space for Public
~13,500 m²

A new publicly accessible central park · a civic amenity the Boost Campus plan does not provide.

Total Green Space
104,129 m²

Total open and planted area across the redevelopment, including courtyards, park, and landscape buffers.

Cité Vivante · site plan
Site Plan

Lab platform retained east · residential and park on the west.

Cité Vivante · rendering
Design Vision

A neighborhood, not a campus.

Cité Vivante · rendering
Public Realm

A 2–3 ha park anchors the commons.

04 · Legal Pathway · Zoning Analysis

Zoning requires modification. The procedural path is known.

Zone Uld · Chilly-Mazarin (AC 705)

PLU approved 9 March 2024 (Municipal Council). Economic/industrial zone. Permitted: industry, artisanal, R&D labs, offices tied to production, commercial ≤ 5% of zone. Prohibited: standalone residential.

Zone Ula · Longjumeau (AC 092 · 600 · 601 · 323 · 324 · 327)

PLU approved 24 September 2024. Mirrors Zone Uld: economic activities, R&D labs, offices and ancillary commercial. Same residential prohibition on a standalone basis.

What this means for Cité Vivante
  • To build 350–500 housing units on this site, a legal mechanism is required to override Zone Ula/Uld.
  • Three pathways exist. All three are codified in French urban planning law.
  • One of them is already live on the adjacent Découflé site — same municipality, same PLU.
  • The regulatory risk is known, bounded, and · critically · precedented.
Source: PLU Règlement Chilly-Mazarin (June 2023) · PLU Enquête Publique Oct–Nov 2023.
04 · Legal Pathway · Options

Three statutory pathways evaluated; déclaration de projet recommended.

Option 01
ZAC · Zone d'Aménagement Concerté

A public entity initiates creation of the ZAC → formal concertation → municipal council approval → PLU modified via mise en compatibilité → mixed-use becomes permissible.

Cleanest legally. Requires municipality as initiating partner. Timeline 18–30 months.

Option 02 · ← Recommended
Mise en Compatibilité via Déclaration de Projet

The exact mechanism currently being used for the Découflé site in Chilly-Mazarin, ~300 housing units on a former industrial site. Public consultation ran June–October 2025.

Fastest proven pathway. Timeline 12–18 months. Directly transferable to our site.

Option 03
Révision Simplifiée du PLU

Permanently reclassify from Zone Ula / Uld to a new mixed-use zone. Most administratively heavy. Requires full public inquiry and prefectural coordination.

Right answer long-term; wrong answer for this underwriting. Timeline 24–36 months.

Source: Code de l'urbanisme · ZAC · Code de l'urbanisme · Déclaration de projet.
04 · Legal Pathway · The Approval Blueprint

The Découflé precedent.

Same municipality. Same PLU. Same type of brownfield. Already in public consultation.

DimensionSite Découflé (live)Cité Vivante (proposed)
PromoterNexity HéritageArizona + independent dev.
Site area3.65 hectares16.3 hectares (9.8 ha developable)
Housing~300 units + 105-room residence350–500 units
Affordable30% social rental20–25% social rental
Public facilities2,000 m² cultural center2–3 ha park + community ctr
MechanismMise en compatibilité via déclaration de projetSame mechanism
StatusPublic consultation Jun–Oct 2025Target initiation Q4 2026
Why it matters

Same municipality, same PLU, same MRAe already approved.

Découflé Timeline
  • Feb 2025 · MECPLU filing
  • Jun–Oct 2025 · Public consultation
  • Late 2025 · Council approval
  • 2026 · Permits underway
Source: Site Découflé MECPLU (Chilly-Mazarin) · DRIEAT Site Découflé Filing.
Section 04
04
Valuation

Valuation

A conservative base case built on market-bear yields.

04 · Valuation · Financial Summary

Stabilized Year (Year 5).

Line ItemAmount (€)
Gross Potential Rent20,306,797
Other Income974,917
Vacancy Loss(1,437,306)
Credit Loss(293,953)
Effective Gross Income19,550,455
Operating Expenses(4,087,089)
Net Operating Income15,463,365
Stabilized NOI
€15.46 M

Year-5 stabilized NOI across residential, lab, cafeteria, GFR, and light industrial revenues.

Effective Gross Income
€19.55 M

Net of ~7.1% vacancy and 1.4% credit loss against gross potential rent of €20.3M.

OpEx Ratio
~20.9%

OpEx as % of Effective Gross Income at stabilization.

04 · Valuation · Key Assumptions

Revenue assumptions by product type.

Residential
Rent Growth2.00%
Vacancy5.00%
Credit Loss2.00%
Exit Yield6.00%
Absorption2 Yr
OpEx % EGI25.00%
Lab
Yr 1 €/m²€300
Rent Growth2.50%
Vacancy8.00%
Credit Loss1.00%
Exit Yield6.75%
Absorption1 Yr
OpEx % EGI20.00%
Cafeteria
Yr 1 €/m²€140
Rent Growth1.50%
Vacancy5.00%
Credit Loss2.00%
Exit Yield7.00%
Absorption1 Yr
OpEx % EGI25.00%
Ground-Floor Retail
Yr 1 €/m²€120
Rent Growth1.00%
Vacancy8.00%
Credit Loss3.00%
Exit Yield6.00%
Absorption1 Yr
OpEx % EGI25.00%
Light Industrial
Yr 1 €/m²€120
Rent Growth2.50%
Vacancy8.00%
Credit Loss1.50%
Exit Yield6.50%
Absorption1 Yr
OpEx % EGI20.00%
04 · Valuation · CapEx Budget

CapEx Budget.

ComponentHard Cost/m²Soft Cost/m²Gross Building Area (m²)Total Cost
Demolition€50.080,000€4,000,000
Park€150.0€22.5104,129€17,962,253
Residential€2,200.0€440.032,000€84,480,000
Lab€300.0€90.047,320€18,454,800
Retail · Cafeteria€1,400.0€210.04,697€7,562,170
Retail · Ground Floor€1,500.0€225.016,000€27,600,000
Industrial€1,800.0€270.019,600€40,572,000
Total303,746€200,631,223
Total CapEx
€200.6M
Hard + soft costs across 303,746 m² GBA.
Residential Share
42%
€84.5M · single largest program line.
Blended Hard Cost
€572 / m²
Weighted by GBA · below EU life-sciences benchmark.
Retained Labs Capex
€18.5M
Refit of existing BSL-2 platform · preserves carrying value.
All figures in 2025 euros. Hard + soft costs only; excludes interest reserve, debt origination, and transaction costs (captured in Sources & Uses).
04 · Valuation · Financing Assumptions

Financing structure.

Acquisition Financing
Loan TypeDeferred Payment
Term18 Months
Interest Rate
Debt to Cost Ratio
Loan Size€14,000,000
Construction Financing
Loan TypeConstruction Loan · Interest Only
Term5 Years
Interest Rate5.50%
Debt to Cost Ratio65.0%
Loan Size€123,683,056
04 · Valuation · Sources & Uses

Sources and Uses.

Sources
UpfrontFutureTotal
Debt€14.0 M€123.7 M€137.7 M
Equity€11.9 M€105.9 M€117.8 M
Total Sources€25.9 M€229.6 M€255.5 M

Upfront: 54% debt / 46% equity · Future: 53.9% debt / 46.1% equity · Total stack 53.9% debt / 46.1% equity.

Uses
Total% of Total
Land Cost€24.0 M9.4%
Debt Origination€3.7 M1.5%
Interest Reserve€25.96 M10.2%
Transaction Cost€11.5 M4.5%
Construction Budget€190.3 M74.5%
Total Uses€255.5 M100.0%
04 · Valuation · Return

Return summary · conservative base case.

Sale Period
Year 5

Stabilized exit at end of Year 5.

Yield on Cost
6.88%

Stabilized NOI divided by total project cost.

Cash on Cash
12.63%

Cash yield on equity at stabilization.

Weighted Exit Cap Rate
1.29 x

Weighted exit multiple across revenue streams.

Reversion
Year 6 NOI€15,791,717
Reversion Value€240,050,825
Reversion Bridge
Equity Multiple
1.10 x

Base-case equity multiple.

Levered IRR
4.01%

Conservative base-case levered IRR.

Unlevered IRR
6.94%

Unlevered project IRR.

04 · Valuation · Framing
Our Base Case = Market-View Bear Case.
We want to cap your downside risk.

Our underwriting pairs conservative rents with exit yields 100 bps above the current market. In any scenario where the market yields reflect true pricing, returns outperform the case presented.

04 · Valuation · Sensitivity Analysis (1)

Levered NPV & Equity Multiple · Weighted Exit Yield × Revenue Growth.

Market base case (5.40–5.90%) vs. our base case (6.15–6.90%, market + 100 bps).

Levered NPV (18% discount rate)
Rev Growth \ Exit Yield5.40%5.65%5.90%6.15%6.40%6.65%6.90%
1.60%4.77 M(0.38 M)(5.10 M)(9.44 M)(13.44 M)(17.13 M)(20.56 M)
1.90%6.90 M1.67 M(3.13 M)(7.53 M)(11.59 M)(15.35 M)(18.83 M)
2.20%9.05 M3.73 M(1.14 M)(5.61 M)(9.73 M)(13.55 M)(17.08 M)
2.50%11.22 M5.82 M0.87 M(3.67 M)(7.86 M)(11.73 M)(15.32 M)
2.80%13.40 M7.92 M2.90 M(1.71 M)(5.97 M)(9.90 M)(13.54 M)
Market base · 5.40–5.90% · Our base · 6.15–6.90% (highlighted).
Equity Multiple
Rev Growth \ Exit Yield5.40%5.65%5.90%6.15%6.40%6.65%6.90%
1.60%1.67 x1.54 x1.42 x1.31 x1.21 x1.12 x1.04 x
1.90%1.73 x1.59 x1.47 x1.36 x1.26 x1.17 x1.08 x
2.20%1.78 x1.65 x1.52 x1.41 x1.31 x1.21 x1.12 x
2.50%1.84 x1.70 x1.58 x1.46 x1.35 x1.26 x1.17 x
2.80%1.89 x1.75 x1.63 x1.51 x1.40 x1.30 x1.21 x
Tap any cell for a readable caption.
04 · Valuation · Sensitivity Analysis (2)

Levered NPV & Equity Multiple · Base Rent × Exit Yield.

Market base case (5.40–5.90%) vs. our base case (6.15–6.90%).

Levered NPV
Base Rent \ Exit Yield5.40%5.65%5.90%6.15%6.40%6.65%6.90%
€194(8.39 M)(13.37 M)(17.92 M)(22.10 M)(25.96 M)(29.52 M)(32.83 M)
€2053.68 M(1.68 M)(6.58 M)(11.09 M)(15.24 M)(19.09 M)(22.65 M)
€21514.66 M8.95 M3.72 M(1.08 M)(5.51 M)(9.60 M)(13.40 M)
€22625.64 M19.58 M14.03 M8.93 M4.23 M(0.12 M)(4.15 M)
€24647.60 M40.83 M34.64 M28.95 M23.71 M18.86 M14.36 M
Equity Multiple
Base Rent \ Exit Yield5.40%5.65%5.90%6.15%6.40%6.65%6.90%
€1941.33 x1.21 x1.10 x1.00 x0.90 x0.81 x0.73 x
€2051.63 x1.49 x1.37 x1.25 x1.15 x1.05 x0.96 x
€2151.92 x1.77 x1.63 x1.50 x1.38 x1.28 x1.18 x
€2262.23 x2.06 x1.91 x1.77 x1.64 x1.52 x1.41 x
€2462.91 x2.71 x2.53 x2.36 x2.21 x2.07 x1.93 x
All figures base-case underwriting · reversion sale Year 5 · 18% discount rate for NPV.